2009 Pat (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,169.77 points (97.48 average)

7th place

5.16 expected wins (0.430)

58-74 all-play record (0.439)

+3.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 L 76.44 172.68 Ed -96.24
11 L 105.32 115.22 Allen -9.90
12 W 108.72 95.04 Matt 13.68
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923523.0%268.084.3909747316191760.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2161954313874600.2%69.77514792899409140.6432859944786212.2%109.42011834319527135.8208932822814529.1%149.06508875739644118.6286008785632320.8%188.7100591715976389.66783948982179428.0%228.3550295857988372.0000000000000150.0%268.027.551180232469108611.9%307.64497041420117111.8446353718932573.9%347.28994082840245131.5212843094074680.8%386.93491124260356139.1924052994588490.1%426.5798816568048140.96859254820282100.0%466.2248520710059141.2119818143235110.0%505.8698224852071141.230196088981712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993310th171.92097902097902245.00699300699349th225.3125874125874218.4335664335664557th278.7041958041958165.286713286713368th332.09580419580413191.860139860139979th385.4874125874125218.43356643356645811th438.87902097902094271.5804195804196911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.58041958041961210th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613211th118.52937062937062271.5804195804196311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.580419580419655th278.7041958041958112.1398601398601664th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335773rd385.487412587412558.99300699300701584th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335799th492.27062937062936218.43356643356645109th545.6622377622377218.43356643356645117th599.053846153846165.28671328671331210th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993310th171.92097902097902245.00699300699349th225.3125874125874218.4335664335664553rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701567th332.09580419580413165.286713286713375th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601686th438.87902097902094138.71328671328675911th492.27062937062936271.5804195804196109th545.6622377622377218.433566433566451110th599.053846153846245.00699300699312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.66396.2512820512820395.3510032672891230.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.769166.507692307692387.987062113365450.967201.6358974358974574.2832964850184460.184236.76410256410256128.4583420229845470.317271.89230769230767119.3191413147911780.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.683412.405128205128293.92379610426741120.16425.994871794871795129.845153815929410.13661.12307692307692131.8413810000259320.00096.2512820512820349.4712373038090230.301131.37948717948717120.3666874155062540.000166.507692307692334.7433549959615850.000201.635897435897457.33582373926765360.000236.76410256410256115.6859148151998870.000271.8923076923076797.4075133988131180.232307.0205128205128125.1861625202142590.122342.14871794871794132.77738024977293100.619377.276923076923198.40149579252639110.000412.405128205128246.6168229777655812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.23076923076923210100.2032051282051178.293706293706330136.77371794871794141.23076923076923410173.344230769230778.2937062937063511209.9147435897435872.062246.4852564102564128.6433566433566474283.0557692307692116.0559440559440580319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923119429.337820512820584.5874125874125912227.062179487179485128.643356643356641063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.2032051282051115.3566433566433633136.77371794871794122.3496503496503540173.344230769230715.3566433566433650209.914743589743582.769230769230773660246.4852564102564116.0559440559440570283.055769230769290.881118881118982319.62628205128203128.6433566433566492356.19679487179485128.64335664335664103392.7673076923077122.34965034965035110429.337820512820527.94405594405594712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.430 22.48 6-7 8th
1 994 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.429 21.17 6-8 10th
2 993 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.431 22.19 5-8 9th
3 979 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
4 973 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
5 971 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.428 23.80 4-9 14th
6 959 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th
7 958 2018 Schertz 5-7 10th 102.50 0.434 16.05 6-7 10th
8 956 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.420 25.11 5-9 12th
9 956 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.450 22.89 3-10 12th
10 954 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.425 25.74 5-8 9th