Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins (through week 13)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins
1 2010 Rabbit 2.42
2 2013 Matt 2.19
3 2025 Rabbit 13 games 2.05
4 2019 Matt 1.91
5 2015 Pulley 1.90
6 2019 Schertz 1.85
7 2012 Matt 1.84
8 2008 Babel 1.79
9 2016 Kevin 1.70
10 2014 Pulley 1.69
11 2017 Dave 1.65
12 2011 Rabbit 1.63
13 2021 Derrek 13 games 1.61
14 2012 Mike R. 1.59
15 2024 Rob 13 games 1.54
16 2022 Schertz 13 games 1.53
17 2024 Mike R. 13 games 1.44
18 2017 Pulley 1.43
19 2018 Mike R. 1.42
20 2023 Matt 13 games 1.37
21 2014 Dave 1.36
22 2025 Scott 13 games 1.35
23 2016 Rabbit 1.34
24 2023 Pulley 13 games 1.32
25 2022 Dave 13 games 1.32
26 2012 Rabbit 1.31
27 2023 Rabbit 13 games 1.28
28 2008 Rob 1.27
29 2021 Richie 13 games 1.26
30 2014 Rabbit 1.25
31 2013 Ed 1.24
32 2009 Matt 1.21
33 2009 Rabbit 1.20
34 2017 Kevin 1.18
35 2021 Babel 13 games 1.15
36 2018 Pulley 1.14
37 2015 Rob 1.10
38 2011 Rob 1.06
39 2018 Derrek 1.03
40 2025 Mike R. 13 games 1.02
41 2018 Scott 1.01
42 2008 Pulley 1.00
43 2014 Babel 0.98
44 2023 Rob 13 games 0.97
45 2009 Kevin 0.97
46 2024 Dave 13 games 0.95
47 2015 Richie 0.94
48 2010 Dave 0.94
49 2016 Schertz 0.93
50 2020 Kevin 0.92
51 2015 Dave 0.92
52 2008 Kevin 0.92
53 2013 Dave 0.87
54 2020 Schertz 0.86
55 2023 Babel 13 games 0.86
56 2019 Pulley 0.86
57 2022 Rob 13 games 0.85
58 2011 Allen 0.85
59 2019 Derrek 0.84
60 2022 Derrek 13 games 0.83
61 2017 Babel 0.81
62 2016 Pulley 0.79
63 2025 Kevin 13 games 0.77
64 2020 Rob 0.75
65 2011 Matt 0.75
66 2015 Matt 0.74
67 2024 Richie 13 games 0.72
68 2016 Rob 0.72
69 2022 Scott 13 games 0.70
70 2018 Kevin 0.70
71 2016 Dave 0.67
72 2010 Ed 0.66
73 2024 Rabbit 13 games 0.64
74 2022 Ed 13 games 0.60
75 2010 Babel 0.57
76 2020 Matt 0.57
77 2014 Rob 0.56
78 2009 Derrek 0.55
79 2020 Ed 0.54
80 2020 Pulley 0.53
81 2020 Babel 0.53
82 2021 Rabbit 13 games 0.53
83 2009 Babel 0.50
84 2018 Matt 0.49
85 2023 Mike R. 13 games 0.48
86 2025 Schertz 13 games 0.42
87 2020 Derrek 0.41
88 2012 Ed 0.40
89 2021 Ed 13 games 0.39
90 2014 Matt 0.35
91 2017 Derrek 0.34
92 2025 Pulley 13 games 0.34
93 2017 Rob 0.33
94 2012 Derrek 0.33
95 2013 Mike R. 0.32
96 2011 Babel 0.30
97 2024 Matt 13 games 0.28
98 2013 Pulley 0.23
99 2019 Mike R. 0.21
100 2012 Rob 0.20
101 2009 Mike R. 0.20
102 2013 Kevin 0.18
103 2013 Rabbit 0.17
104 2008 Ed 0.17
105 2021 Schertz 13 games 0.16
106 2010 Derrek 0.13
107 2023 Ed 13 games 0.13
108 2015 Schertz 0.10
109 2010 Pulley 0.09
110 2009 Rob 0.09
111 2024 Kevin 13 games 0.09
112 2019 Rabbit 0.07
113 2011 Ed 0.07
114 2020 Mike R. 0.06
115 2015 Babel 0.06
116 2011 Mike R. 0.06
117 2011 Kevin 0.05
118 2013 Rob 0.05
119 2018 Ed 0.03
120 2017 Ed 0.03
121 2022 Rabbit 13 games 0.03
122 2022 Matt 13 games 0.01
123 2021 Matt 13 games -0.02
124 2025 Dave 13 games -0.03
125 2016 Ed -0.04
126 2020 Richie -0.05
127 2012 Babel -0.05
128 2008 Derrek -0.05
129 2024 Ed 13 games -0.06
130 2021 Dave 13 games -0.06
131 2013 Babel -0.08
132 2017 Pat -0.08
133 2015 Rabbit -0.09
134 2021 Pat 13 games -0.11
135 2009 Ed -0.12
136 2022 Kevin 13 games -0.13
137 2014 Ed -0.14
138 2014 Mike R. -0.14
139 2018 Rob -0.16
140 2012 Dave -0.16
141 2019 Babel -0.16
142 2009 Allen -0.20
143 2024 Schertz 13 games -0.23
144 2018 Babel -0.24
145 2013 Schertz -0.27
146 2015 Mike R. -0.28
147 2018 Rabbit -0.28
148 2020 Rabbit -0.29
149 2023 Pat 13 games -0.32
150 2016 Babel -0.32
151 2021 Kevin 13 games -0.32
152 2016 Allen -0.34
153 2016 Matt -0.36
154 2008 Rabbit -0.37
155 2025 Rob 13 games -0.38
156 2010 Rob -0.39
157 2021 Mike R. 13 games -0.40
158 2022 Mike R. 13 games -0.41
159 2012 Schertz -0.41
160 2018 Schertz -0.41
161 2012 Allen -0.41
162 2025 Ed 13 games -0.43
163 2024 Babel 13 games -0.45
164 2020 Scott -0.47
165 2017 Richie -0.47
166 2008 Allen -0.48
167 2017 Rabbit -0.48
168 2024 Pat 13 games -0.48
169 2019 Ed -0.50
170 2015 Ed -0.50
171 2019 Dave -0.51
172 2021 Pulley 13 games -0.52
173 2019 Kevin -0.54
174 2014 Kevin -0.58
175 2010 Matt -0.59
176 2019 Pat -0.60
177 2023 Schertz 13 games -0.62
178 2017 Schertz -0.62
179 2008 Mike R. -0.63
180 2010 Mike R. -0.63
181 2011 Dave -0.64
182 2011 Derrek -0.65
183 2019 Scott -0.71
184 2009 Dave -0.72
185 2025 Richie 13 games -0.74
186 2025 Derrek 13 games -0.74
187 2025 Matt 13 games -0.76
188 2023 Dave 13 games -0.78
189 2014 Pat -0.78
190 2013 Richie -0.80
191 2010 Kevin -0.82
192 2024 Scott 13 games -0.83
193 2015 Pat -0.84
194 2012 Pulley -0.85
195 2015 Derrek -0.88
196 2014 Richie -0.89
197 2012 Kevin -0.90
198 2022 Richie 13 games -0.92
199 2008 Katie -0.92
200 2017 Matt -0.98
201 2014 Derrek -1.02
202 2023 Richie 13 games -1.03
203 2023 Scott 13 games -1.04
204 2023 Derrek 13 games -1.07
205 2010 Allen -1.10
206 2016 Mike R. -1.11
207 2013 Pat -1.12
208 2013 Derrek -1.12
209 2008 Matt -1.18
210 2017 Allen -1.19
211 2019 Richie -1.21
212 2016 Pat -1.22
213 2021 Rob 13 games -1.25
214 2014 Allen -1.25
215 2022 Pat 13 games -1.28
216 2010 Pat -1.29
217 2018 Richie -1.32
218 2016 Derrek -1.34
219 2025 Pat 13 games -1.37
220 2014 Schertz -1.40
221 2016 Richie -1.41
222 2012 Richie -1.43
223 2012 Pat -1.44
224 2025 Babel 13 games -1.47
225 2009 Pat -1.48
226 2019 Rob -1.51
227 2015 Kevin -1.52
228 2008 Dave -1.52
229 2022 Babel 13 games -1.54
230 2023 Kevin 13 games -1.56
231 2020 Pat -1.60
232 2022 Pulley 13 games -1.60
233 2018 Dave -1.62
234 2015 Allen -1.66
235 2011 Pat -1.70
236 2011 Pulley -1.76
237 2018 Pat -1.79
238 2024 Pulley 13 games -1.79
239 2024 Derrek 13 games -1.80
240 2013 Allen -1.86
241 2017 Mike R. -1.93
242 2009 Pulley -2.19
243 2021 Scott 13 games -2.43
244 2020 Dave -2.76