Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins (through week 6)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins
1 2025 Rabbit 6 games 1.90
2 2019 Pulley 6 games 1.88
3 2014 Pulley 6 games 1.85
4 2010 Dave 6 games 1.84
5 2014 Dave 6 games 1.77
6 2012 Rabbit 6 games 1.76
7 2019 Schertz 6 games 1.73
8 2025 Scott 6 games 1.73
9 2024 Rabbit 6 games 1.68
10 2012 Mike R. 6 games 1.63
11 2015 Rob 6 games 1.59
12 2013 Ed 6 games 1.56
13 2023 Matt 6 games 1.54
14 2017 Babel 6 games 1.52
15 2013 Pulley 6 games 1.50
16 2020 Ed 6 games 1.47
17 2017 Dave 6 games 1.47
18 2010 Rabbit 6 games 1.43
19 2012 Matt 6 games 1.42
20 2023 Pulley 6 games 1.41
21 2015 Dave 6 games 1.41
22 2015 Pulley 6 games 1.40
23 2024 Rob 6 games 1.39
24 2020 Pulley 6 games 1.38
25 2009 Rabbit 6 games 1.37
26 2022 Rob 6 games 1.36
27 2024 Mike R. 6 games 1.35
28 2008 Pulley 6 games 1.33
29 2011 Rob 6 games 1.33
30 2008 Derrek 6 games 1.32
31 2008 Babel 6 games 1.30
32 2022 Scott 6 games 1.29
33 2021 Babel 6 games 1.29
34 2016 Rob 6 games 1.27
35 2013 Matt 6 games 1.27
36 2023 Babel 6 games 1.25
37 2016 Kevin 6 games 1.23
38 2017 Derrek 6 games 1.18
39 2018 Mike R. 6 games 1.16
40 2021 Derrek 6 games 1.15
41 2016 Rabbit 6 games 1.15
42 2023 Mike R. 6 games 1.11
43 2011 Rabbit 6 games 1.07
44 2010 Ed 6 games 1.03
45 2009 Kevin 6 games 1.02
46 2022 Matt 6 games 1.02
47 2022 Ed 6 games 1.02
48 2017 Pulley 6 games 1.01
49 2018 Rob 6 games 0.99
50 2013 Dave 6 games 0.91
51 2018 Derrek 6 games 0.90
52 2011 Allen 6 games 0.87
53 2022 Schertz 6 games 0.86
54 2016 Pulley 6 games 0.86
55 2014 Rob 6 games 0.86
56 2021 Schertz 6 games 0.84
57 2016 Dave 6 games 0.80
58 2019 Matt 6 games 0.79
59 2021 Rabbit 6 games 0.77
60 2017 Rob 6 games 0.77
61 2018 Matt 6 games 0.76
62 2015 Richie 6 games 0.73
63 2009 Derrek 6 games 0.73
64 2014 Matt 6 games 0.72
65 2018 Kevin 6 games 0.71
66 2020 Kevin 6 games 0.71
67 2025 Pulley 6 games 0.69
68 2016 Schertz 6 games 0.69
69 2013 Kevin 6 games 0.67
70 2024 Scott 6 games 0.66
71 2021 Richie 6 games 0.63
72 2011 Mike R. 6 games 0.60
73 2008 Ed 6 games 0.60
74 2023 Rabbit 6 games 0.60
75 2020 Schertz 6 games 0.59
76 2014 Rabbit 6 games 0.59
77 2019 Rabbit 6 games 0.59
78 2009 Mike R. 6 games 0.57
79 2018 Ed 6 games 0.57
80 2009 Babel 6 games 0.57
81 2019 Derrek 6 games 0.55
82 2012 Ed 6 games 0.51
83 2020 Rob 6 games 0.50
84 2021 Kevin 6 games 0.50
85 2025 Kevin 6 games 0.47
86 2018 Pulley 6 games 0.46
87 2024 Pat 6 games 0.45
88 2022 Dave 6 games 0.45
89 2009 Matt 6 games 0.44
90 2021 Mike R. 6 games 0.42
91 2008 Kevin 6 games 0.40
92 2015 Babel 6 games 0.38
93 2015 Mike R. 6 games 0.37
94 2019 Pat 6 games 0.37
95 2025 Schertz 6 games 0.34
96 2025 Rob 6 games 0.33
97 2010 Derrek 6 games 0.33
98 2011 Babel 6 games 0.31
99 2008 Rob 6 games 0.30
100 2020 Scott 6 games 0.27
101 2020 Mike R. 6 games 0.27
102 2015 Matt 6 games 0.26
103 2022 Rabbit 6 games 0.25
104 2024 Ed 6 games 0.25
105 2017 Schertz 6 games 0.24
106 2014 Babel 6 games 0.22
107 2012 Derrek 6 games 0.22
108 2009 Pat 6 games 0.17
109 2009 Rob 6 games 0.16
110 2012 Allen 6 games 0.15
111 2016 Matt 6 games 0.15
112 2010 Mike R. 6 games 0.09
113 2024 Babel 6 games 0.09
114 2011 Dave 6 games 0.08
115 2013 Mike R. 6 games 0.07
116 2013 Schertz 6 games 0.07
117 2019 Scott 6 games 0.07
118 2010 Matt 6 games 0.06
119 2025 Mike R. 6 games 0.06
120 2022 Derrek 6 games 0.05
121 2023 Rob 6 games 0.04
122 2016 Ed 6 games 0.04
123 2011 Ed 6 games 0.03
124 2010 Babel 6 games 0.03
125 2025 Dave 6 games 0.00
126 2011 Matt 6 games -0.03
127 2018 Scott 6 games -0.04
128 2008 Allen 6 games -0.06
129 2024 Richie 6 games -0.09
130 2020 Richie 6 games -0.13
131 2023 Pat 6 games -0.16
132 2021 Ed 6 games -0.17
133 2018 Rabbit 6 games -0.17
134 2011 Kevin 6 games -0.18
135 2021 Dave 6 games -0.19
136 2011 Derrek 6 games -0.19
137 2014 Schertz 6 games -0.20
138 2017 Kevin 6 games -0.22
139 2013 Rob 6 games -0.22
140 2012 Babel 6 games -0.24
141 2020 Rabbit 6 games -0.24
142 2010 Pulley 6 games -0.25
143 2024 Kevin 6 games -0.28
144 2012 Rob 6 games -0.31
145 2017 Ed 6 games -0.32
146 2020 Derrek 6 games -0.33
147 2015 Ed 6 games -0.34
148 2012 Kevin 6 games -0.35
149 2016 Richie 6 games -0.35
150 2025 Pat 6 games -0.36
151 2023 Schertz 6 games -0.38
152 2014 Mike R. 6 games -0.38
153 2019 Mike R. 6 games -0.39
154 2021 Matt 6 games -0.39
155 2022 Kevin 6 games -0.39
156 2008 Matt 6 games -0.40
157 2023 Richie 6 games -0.40
158 2013 Pat 6 games -0.41
159 2021 Pat 6 games -0.41
160 2017 Matt 6 games -0.44
161 2015 Schertz 6 games -0.45
162 2012 Pat 6 games -0.46
163 2020 Matt 6 games -0.46
164 2018 Schertz 6 games -0.47
165 2019 Kevin 6 games -0.47
166 2012 Pulley 6 games -0.48
167 2014 Ed 6 games -0.48
168 2014 Kevin 6 games -0.49
169 2019 Ed 6 games -0.50
170 2017 Rabbit 6 games -0.50
171 2018 Richie 6 games -0.51
172 2023 Ed 6 games -0.51
173 2015 Kevin 6 games -0.53
174 2025 Derrek 6 games -0.54
175 2016 Allen 6 games -0.54
176 2023 Dave 6 games -0.58
177 2020 Babel 6 games -0.61
178 2009 Allen 6 games -0.66
179 2021 Pulley 6 games -0.66
180 2013 Richie 6 games -0.68
181 2020 Pat 6 games -0.69
182 2024 Dave 6 games -0.74
183 2018 Babel 6 games -0.77
184 2025 Matt 6 games -0.77
185 2017 Richie 6 games -0.79
186 2025 Ed 6 games -0.80
187 2015 Rabbit 6 games -0.81
188 2008 Katie 6 games -0.83
189 2023 Derrek 6 games -0.83
190 2022 Mike R. 6 games -0.88
191 2010 Pat 6 games -0.88
192 2018 Dave 6 games -0.89
193 2014 Allen 6 games -0.89
194 2013 Allen 6 games -0.91
195 2019 Rob 6 games -0.91
196 2016 Derrek 6 games -0.92
197 2024 Matt 6 games -0.92
198 2012 Dave 6 games -0.92
199 2014 Pat 6 games -0.94
200 2009 Ed 6 games -0.95
201 2024 Schertz 6 games -1.02
202 2013 Derrek 6 games -1.05
203 2008 Dave 6 games -1.06
204 2017 Pat 6 games -1.08
205 2024 Derrek 6 games -1.10
206 2022 Pulley 6 games -1.12
207 2019 Babel 6 games -1.13
208 2022 Pat 6 games -1.15
209 2010 Rob 6 games -1.16
210 2019 Richie 6 games -1.17
211 2022 Babel 6 games -1.18
212 2021 Rob 6 games -1.21
213 2014 Derrek 6 games -1.22
214 2010 Kevin 6 games -1.24
215 2009 Dave 6 games -1.26
216 2017 Mike R. 6 games -1.27
217 2025 Babel 6 games -1.28
218 2010 Allen 6 games -1.29
219 2015 Allen 6 games -1.31
220 2023 Scott 6 games -1.31
221 2013 Rabbit 6 games -1.32
222 2015 Derrek 6 games -1.34
223 2016 Mike R. 6 games -1.35
224 2012 Richie 6 games -1.37
225 2015 Pat 6 games -1.37
226 2019 Dave 6 games -1.40
227 2014 Richie 6 games -1.41
228 2008 Mike R. 6 games -1.41
229 2013 Babel 6 games -1.45
230 2016 Pat 6 games -1.47
231 2008 Rabbit 6 games -1.49
232 2016 Babel 6 games -1.56
233 2012 Schertz 6 games -1.56
234 2017 Allen 6 games -1.57
235 2022 Richie 6 games -1.58
236 2011 Pat 6 games -1.64
237 2024 Pulley 6 games -1.72
238 2023 Kevin 6 games -1.77
239 2025 Richie 6 games -1.78
240 2009 Pulley 6 games -2.17
241 2011 Pulley 6 games -2.26
242 2021 Scott 6 games -2.57
243 2018 Pat 6 games -2.71
244 2020 Dave 6 games -2.73