Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins (through week 6)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins
1 2020 Dave 6 games -2.73
2 2018 Pat 6 games -2.71
3 2021 Scott 6 games -2.57
4 2011 Pulley 6 games -2.26
5 2009 Pulley 6 games -2.17
6 2025 Richie 6 games -1.78
7 2023 Kevin 6 games -1.77
8 2024 Pulley 6 games -1.72
9 2011 Pat 6 games -1.64
10 2022 Richie 6 games -1.58
11 2017 Allen 6 games -1.57
12 2012 Schertz 6 games -1.56
13 2016 Babel 6 games -1.56
14 2008 Rabbit 6 games -1.49
15 2016 Pat 6 games -1.47
16 2013 Babel 6 games -1.45
17 2008 Mike R. 6 games -1.41
18 2014 Richie 6 games -1.41
19 2019 Dave 6 games -1.40
20 2015 Pat 6 games -1.37
21 2012 Richie 6 games -1.37
22 2016 Mike R. 6 games -1.35
23 2015 Derrek 6 games -1.34
24 2013 Rabbit 6 games -1.32
25 2023 Scott 6 games -1.31
26 2015 Allen 6 games -1.31
27 2010 Allen 6 games -1.29
28 2025 Babel 6 games -1.28
29 2017 Mike R. 6 games -1.27
30 2009 Dave 6 games -1.26
31 2010 Kevin 6 games -1.24
32 2014 Derrek 6 games -1.22
33 2021 Rob 6 games -1.21
34 2022 Babel 6 games -1.18
35 2019 Richie 6 games -1.17
36 2010 Rob 6 games -1.16
37 2022 Pat 6 games -1.15
38 2019 Babel 6 games -1.13
39 2022 Pulley 6 games -1.12
40 2024 Derrek 6 games -1.10
41 2017 Pat 6 games -1.08
42 2008 Dave 6 games -1.06
43 2013 Derrek 6 games -1.05
44 2024 Schertz 6 games -1.02
45 2009 Ed 6 games -0.95
46 2014 Pat 6 games -0.94
47 2012 Dave 6 games -0.92
48 2024 Matt 6 games -0.92
49 2016 Derrek 6 games -0.92
50 2019 Rob 6 games -0.91
51 2013 Allen 6 games -0.91
52 2014 Allen 6 games -0.89
53 2018 Dave 6 games -0.89
54 2010 Pat 6 games -0.88
55 2022 Mike R. 6 games -0.88
56 2023 Derrek 6 games -0.83
57 2008 Katie 6 games -0.83
58 2015 Rabbit 6 games -0.81
59 2025 Ed 6 games -0.80
60 2017 Richie 6 games -0.79
61 2025 Matt 6 games -0.77
62 2018 Babel 6 games -0.77
63 2024 Dave 6 games -0.74
64 2020 Pat 6 games -0.69
65 2013 Richie 6 games -0.68
66 2021 Pulley 6 games -0.66
67 2009 Allen 6 games -0.66
68 2020 Babel 6 games -0.61
69 2023 Dave 6 games -0.58
70 2016 Allen 6 games -0.54
71 2025 Derrek 6 games -0.54
72 2015 Kevin 6 games -0.53
73 2023 Ed 6 games -0.51
74 2018 Richie 6 games -0.51
75 2017 Rabbit 6 games -0.50
76 2019 Ed 6 games -0.50
77 2014 Kevin 6 games -0.49
78 2014 Ed 6 games -0.48
79 2012 Pulley 6 games -0.48
80 2019 Kevin 6 games -0.47
81 2018 Schertz 6 games -0.47
82 2020 Matt 6 games -0.46
83 2012 Pat 6 games -0.46
84 2015 Schertz 6 games -0.45
85 2017 Matt 6 games -0.44
86 2021 Pat 6 games -0.41
87 2013 Pat 6 games -0.41
88 2023 Richie 6 games -0.40
89 2008 Matt 6 games -0.40
90 2022 Kevin 6 games -0.39
91 2021 Matt 6 games -0.39
92 2019 Mike R. 6 games -0.39
93 2014 Mike R. 6 games -0.38
94 2023 Schertz 6 games -0.38
95 2025 Pat 6 games -0.36
96 2016 Richie 6 games -0.35
97 2012 Kevin 6 games -0.35
98 2015 Ed 6 games -0.34
99 2020 Derrek 6 games -0.33
100 2017 Ed 6 games -0.32
101 2012 Rob 6 games -0.31
102 2024 Kevin 6 games -0.28
103 2010 Pulley 6 games -0.25
104 2020 Rabbit 6 games -0.24
105 2012 Babel 6 games -0.24
106 2013 Rob 6 games -0.22
107 2017 Kevin 6 games -0.22
108 2014 Schertz 6 games -0.20
109 2011 Derrek 6 games -0.19
110 2021 Dave 6 games -0.19
111 2011 Kevin 6 games -0.18
112 2018 Rabbit 6 games -0.17
113 2021 Ed 6 games -0.17
114 2023 Pat 6 games -0.16
115 2020 Richie 6 games -0.13
116 2024 Richie 6 games -0.09
117 2008 Allen 6 games -0.06
118 2018 Scott 6 games -0.04
119 2011 Matt 6 games -0.03
120 2025 Dave 6 games 0.00
121 2010 Babel 6 games 0.03
122 2011 Ed 6 games 0.03
123 2016 Ed 6 games 0.04
124 2023 Rob 6 games 0.04
125 2022 Derrek 6 games 0.05
126 2025 Mike R. 6 games 0.06
127 2010 Matt 6 games 0.06
128 2019 Scott 6 games 0.07
129 2013 Schertz 6 games 0.07
130 2013 Mike R. 6 games 0.07
131 2011 Dave 6 games 0.08
132 2024 Babel 6 games 0.09
133 2010 Mike R. 6 games 0.09
134 2016 Matt 6 games 0.15
135 2012 Allen 6 games 0.15
136 2009 Rob 6 games 0.16
137 2009 Pat 6 games 0.17
138 2012 Derrek 6 games 0.22
139 2014 Babel 6 games 0.22
140 2017 Schertz 6 games 0.24
141 2024 Ed 6 games 0.25
142 2022 Rabbit 6 games 0.25
143 2015 Matt 6 games 0.26
144 2020 Mike R. 6 games 0.27
145 2020 Scott 6 games 0.27
146 2008 Rob 6 games 0.30
147 2011 Babel 6 games 0.31
148 2010 Derrek 6 games 0.33
149 2025 Rob 6 games 0.33
150 2025 Schertz 6 games 0.34
151 2019 Pat 6 games 0.37
152 2015 Mike R. 6 games 0.37
153 2015 Babel 6 games 0.38
154 2008 Kevin 6 games 0.40
155 2021 Mike R. 6 games 0.42
156 2009 Matt 6 games 0.44
157 2022 Dave 6 games 0.45
158 2024 Pat 6 games 0.45
159 2018 Pulley 6 games 0.46
160 2025 Kevin 6 games 0.47
161 2021 Kevin 6 games 0.50
162 2020 Rob 6 games 0.50
163 2012 Ed 6 games 0.51
164 2019 Derrek 6 games 0.55
165 2009 Babel 6 games 0.57
166 2018 Ed 6 games 0.57
167 2009 Mike R. 6 games 0.57
168 2019 Rabbit 6 games 0.59
169 2014 Rabbit 6 games 0.59
170 2020 Schertz 6 games 0.59
171 2023 Rabbit 6 games 0.60
172 2008 Ed 6 games 0.60
173 2011 Mike R. 6 games 0.60
174 2021 Richie 6 games 0.63
175 2024 Scott 6 games 0.66
176 2013 Kevin 6 games 0.67
177 2016 Schertz 6 games 0.69
178 2025 Pulley 6 games 0.69
179 2020 Kevin 6 games 0.71
180 2018 Kevin 6 games 0.71
181 2014 Matt 6 games 0.72
182 2009 Derrek 6 games 0.73
183 2015 Richie 6 games 0.73
184 2018 Matt 6 games 0.76
185 2017 Rob 6 games 0.77
186 2021 Rabbit 6 games 0.77
187 2019 Matt 6 games 0.79
188 2016 Dave 6 games 0.80
189 2021 Schertz 6 games 0.84
190 2014 Rob 6 games 0.86
191 2016 Pulley 6 games 0.86
192 2022 Schertz 6 games 0.86
193 2011 Allen 6 games 0.87
194 2018 Derrek 6 games 0.90
195 2013 Dave 6 games 0.91
196 2018 Rob 6 games 0.99
197 2017 Pulley 6 games 1.01
198 2022 Ed 6 games 1.02
199 2022 Matt 6 games 1.02
200 2009 Kevin 6 games 1.02
201 2010 Ed 6 games 1.03
202 2011 Rabbit 6 games 1.07
203 2023 Mike R. 6 games 1.11
204 2016 Rabbit 6 games 1.15
205 2021 Derrek 6 games 1.15
206 2018 Mike R. 6 games 1.16
207 2017 Derrek 6 games 1.18
208 2016 Kevin 6 games 1.23
209 2023 Babel 6 games 1.25
210 2013 Matt 6 games 1.27
211 2016 Rob 6 games 1.27
212 2021 Babel 6 games 1.29
213 2022 Scott 6 games 1.29
214 2008 Babel 6 games 1.30
215 2008 Derrek 6 games 1.32
216 2011 Rob 6 games 1.33
217 2008 Pulley 6 games 1.33
218 2024 Mike R. 6 games 1.35
219 2022 Rob 6 games 1.36
220 2009 Rabbit 6 games 1.37
221 2020 Pulley 6 games 1.38
222 2024 Rob 6 games 1.39
223 2015 Pulley 6 games 1.40
224 2015 Dave 6 games 1.41
225 2023 Pulley 6 games 1.41
226 2012 Matt 6 games 1.42
227 2010 Rabbit 6 games 1.43
228 2017 Dave 6 games 1.47
229 2020 Ed 6 games 1.47
230 2013 Pulley 6 games 1.50
231 2017 Babel 6 games 1.52
232 2023 Matt 6 games 1.54
233 2013 Ed 6 games 1.56
234 2015 Rob 6 games 1.59
235 2012 Mike R. 6 games 1.63
236 2024 Rabbit 6 games 1.68
237 2025 Scott 6 games 1.73
238 2019 Schertz 6 games 1.73
239 2012 Rabbit 6 games 1.76
240 2014 Dave 6 games 1.77
241 2010 Dave 6 games 1.84
242 2014 Pulley 6 games 1.85
243 2019 Pulley 6 games 1.88
244 2025 Rabbit 6 games 1.90