Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins (through week 5)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Above Average Expected Wins
1 2014 Pulley 5 games 2.06
2 2017 Babel 5 games 1.83
3 2025 Rabbit 5 games 1.77
4 2017 Dave 5 games 1.75
5 2010 Dave 5 games 1.71
6 2013 Matt 5 games 1.69
7 2012 Mike R. 5 games 1.68
8 2025 Scott 5 games 1.66
9 2019 Pulley 5 games 1.66
10 2019 Schertz 5 games 1.65
11 2024 Rabbit 5 games 1.60
12 2011 Rob 5 games 1.54
13 2024 Mike R. 5 games 1.49
14 2014 Dave 5 games 1.48
15 2010 Rabbit 5 games 1.48
16 2023 Babel 5 games 1.45
17 2008 Babel 5 games 1.40
18 2013 Pulley 5 games 1.39
19 2016 Dave 5 games 1.39
20 2023 Matt 5 games 1.39
21 2008 Pulley 5 games 1.38
22 2012 Matt 5 games 1.36
23 2012 Rabbit 5 games 1.36
24 2019 Matt 5 games 1.34
25 2015 Rob 5 games 1.34
26 2020 Kevin 5 games 1.29
27 2021 Derrek 5 games 1.28
28 2013 Ed 5 games 1.28
29 2025 Pulley 5 games 1.27
30 2009 Rabbit 5 games 1.27
31 2024 Rob 5 games 1.25
32 2015 Pulley 5 games 1.24
33 2018 Mike R. 5 games 1.23
34 2015 Dave 5 games 1.22
35 2016 Schertz 5 games 1.22
36 2020 Ed 5 games 1.20
37 2021 Babel 5 games 1.20
38 2022 Ed 5 games 1.19
39 2009 Derrek 5 games 1.17
40 2022 Schertz 5 games 1.15
41 2023 Pulley 5 games 1.14
42 2011 Rabbit 5 games 1.10
43 2010 Ed 5 games 1.10
44 2018 Rob 5 games 1.08
45 2008 Derrek 5 games 1.06
46 2022 Scott 5 games 1.05
47 2022 Matt 5 games 1.05
48 2022 Rob 5 games 1.03
49 2017 Derrek 5 games 1.02
50 2020 Pulley 5 games 0.98
51 2021 Rabbit 5 games 0.94
52 2012 Ed 5 games 0.92
53 2016 Rob 5 games 0.92
54 2016 Pulley 5 games 0.91
55 2008 Ed 5 games 0.89
56 2020 Rob 5 games 0.89
57 2011 Ed 5 games 0.84
58 2015 Babel 5 games 0.84
59 2021 Mike R. 5 games 0.82
60 2016 Kevin 5 games 0.81
61 2014 Babel 5 games 0.78
62 2018 Matt 5 games 0.77
63 2023 Rabbit 5 games 0.77
64 2016 Rabbit 5 games 0.75
65 2022 Dave 5 games 0.74
66 2017 Rob 5 games 0.73
67 2018 Kevin 5 games 0.73
68 2009 Kevin 5 games 0.72
69 2015 Mike R. 5 games 0.69
70 2023 Mike R. 5 games 0.67
71 2014 Rob 5 games 0.65
72 2013 Dave 5 games 0.65
73 2021 Richie 5 games 0.64
74 2011 Allen 5 games 0.63
75 2021 Schertz 5 games 0.63
76 2009 Matt 5 games 0.62
77 2013 Schertz 5 games 0.59
78 2018 Derrek 5 games 0.59
79 2009 Babel 5 games 0.58
80 2018 Pulley 5 games 0.58
81 2017 Pulley 5 games 0.58
82 2015 Richie 5 games 0.57
83 2024 Babel 5 games 0.56
84 2020 Richie 5 games 0.54
85 2014 Matt 5 games 0.52
86 2010 Mike R. 5 games 0.52
87 2024 Ed 5 games 0.44
88 2009 Rob 5 games 0.43
89 2012 Allen 5 games 0.39
90 2019 Pat 5 games 0.39
91 2008 Kevin 5 games 0.36
92 2018 Ed 5 games 0.35
93 2009 Mike R. 5 games 0.32
94 2013 Kevin 5 games 0.32
95 2021 Kevin 5 games 0.31
96 2025 Pat 5 games 0.31
97 2014 Rabbit 5 games 0.29
98 2025 Kevin 5 games 0.29
99 2011 Babel 5 games 0.28
100 2019 Derrek 5 games 0.28
101 2011 Kevin 5 games 0.25
102 2019 Rabbit 5 games 0.25
103 2020 Scott 5 games 0.25
104 2022 Derrek 5 games 0.24
105 2024 Scott 5 games 0.23
106 2023 Rob 5 games 0.23
107 2020 Schertz 5 games 0.22
108 2016 Matt 5 games 0.19
109 2010 Derrek 5 games 0.19
110 2011 Mike R. 5 games 0.19
111 2020 Mike R. 5 games 0.18
112 2015 Matt 5 games 0.17
113 2025 Mike R. 5 games 0.17
114 2010 Babel 5 games 0.14
115 2025 Rob 5 games 0.14
116 2014 Kevin 5 games 0.12
117 2017 Schertz 5 games 0.11
118 2024 Kevin 5 games 0.11
119 2008 Allen 5 games 0.07
120 2019 Kevin 5 games 0.03
121 2019 Scott 5 games 0.02
122 2016 Ed 5 games 0.02
123 2013 Rob 5 games 0.02
124 2020 Matt 5 games 0.00
125 2012 Derrek 5 games 0.00
126 2012 Kevin 5 games -0.00
127 2023 Schertz 5 games -0.02
128 2015 Ed 5 games -0.03
129 2013 Mike R. 5 games -0.07
130 2024 Richie 5 games -0.09
131 2009 Allen 5 games -0.11
132 2023 Pat 5 games -0.11
133 2010 Matt 5 games -0.12
134 2018 Scott 5 games -0.13
135 2017 Ed 5 games -0.16
136 2021 Matt 5 games -0.18
137 2022 Rabbit 5 games -0.18
138 2023 Richie 5 games -0.18
139 2021 Pat 5 games -0.21
140 2024 Pat 5 games -0.22
141 2011 Derrek 5 games -0.24
142 2023 Ed 5 games -0.26
143 2018 Richie 5 games -0.27
144 2016 Allen 5 games -0.28
145 2015 Schertz 5 games -0.28
146 2018 Babel 5 games -0.32
147 2025 Schertz 5 games -0.33
148 2025 Matt 5 games -0.34
149 2012 Pulley 5 games -0.34
150 2018 Rabbit 5 games -0.35
151 2008 Rob 5 games -0.35
152 2013 Richie 5 games -0.36
153 2025 Ed 5 games -0.36
154 2019 Rob 5 games -0.37
155 2014 Pat 5 games -0.38
156 2008 Dave 5 games -0.39
157 2014 Mike R. 5 games -0.39
158 2008 Matt 5 games -0.39
159 2017 Kevin 5 games -0.41
160 2017 Matt 5 games -0.41
161 2024 Schertz 5 games -0.44
162 2011 Matt 5 games -0.48
163 2022 Kevin 5 games -0.48
164 2012 Rob 5 games -0.48
165 2025 Dave 5 games -0.50
166 2020 Babel 5 games -0.51
167 2018 Schertz 5 games -0.51
168 2009 Pat 5 games -0.52
169 2021 Ed 5 games -0.52
170 2021 Dave 5 games -0.54
171 2014 Schertz 5 games -0.55
172 2019 Mike R. 5 games -0.55
173 2012 Pat 5 games -0.56
174 2013 Pat 5 games -0.57
175 2015 Kevin 5 games -0.59
176 2010 Pat 5 games -0.61
177 2012 Babel 5 games -0.63
178 2016 Richie 5 games -0.64
179 2020 Rabbit 5 games -0.68
180 2019 Ed 5 games -0.70
181 2022 Mike R. 5 games -0.71
182 2014 Ed 5 games -0.75
183 2012 Dave 5 games -0.77
184 2024 Derrek 5 games -0.77
185 2015 Rabbit 5 games -0.78
186 2011 Dave 5 games -0.79
187 2010 Pulley 5 games -0.81
188 2024 Dave 5 games -0.81
189 2017 Rabbit 5 games -0.82
190 2017 Richie 5 games -0.85
191 2023 Derrek 5 games -0.87
192 2020 Derrek 5 games -0.88
193 2017 Mike R. 5 games -0.89
194 2021 Rob 5 games -0.90
195 2018 Dave 5 games -0.92
196 2023 Dave 5 games -0.93
197 2012 Richie 5 games -0.96
198 2008 Rabbit 5 games -0.97
199 2020 Pat 5 games -0.98
200 2019 Richie 5 games -1.00
201 2013 Derrek 5 games -1.00
202 2021 Pulley 5 games -1.04
203 2009 Ed 5 games -1.07
204 2022 Pulley 5 games -1.07
205 2016 Derrek 5 games -1.07
206 2014 Allen 5 games -1.08
207 2011 Pat 5 games -1.10
208 2013 Allen 5 games -1.10
209 2023 Scott 5 games -1.12
210 2010 Allen 5 games -1.13
211 2022 Pat 5 games -1.14
212 2015 Allen 5 games -1.17
213 2025 Derrek 5 games -1.18
214 2010 Kevin 5 games -1.19
215 2017 Pat 5 games -1.20
216 2016 Pat 5 games -1.21
217 2014 Derrek 5 games -1.22
218 2025 Babel 5 games -1.25
219 2010 Rob 5 games -1.28
220 2017 Allen 5 games -1.30
221 2009 Dave 5 games -1.33
222 2022 Babel 5 games -1.33
223 2008 Katie 5 games -1.40
224 2013 Rabbit 5 games -1.41
225 2013 Babel 5 games -1.42
226 2019 Babel 5 games -1.44
227 2016 Babel 5 games -1.50
228 2016 Mike R. 5 games -1.51
229 2014 Richie 5 games -1.53
230 2015 Pat 5 games -1.54
231 2022 Richie 5 games -1.55
232 2019 Dave 5 games -1.57
233 2024 Matt 5 games -1.58
234 2025 Richie 5 games -1.64
235 2008 Mike R. 5 games -1.65
236 2015 Derrek 5 games -1.69
237 2024 Pulley 5 games -1.75
238 2012 Schertz 5 games -1.98
239 2009 Pulley 5 games -2.08
240 2023 Kevin 5 games -2.15
241 2011 Pulley 5 games -2.24
242 2021 Scott 5 games -2.44
243 2020 Dave 5 games -2.50
244 2018 Pat 5 games -2.82