Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins (through week 5)

(regular season games only)

[All Top Seasons]
Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins
1 2018 Pat 5 games -2.82
2 2020 Dave 5 games -2.50
3 2021 Scott 5 games -2.44
4 2011 Pulley 5 games -2.24
5 2023 Kevin 5 games -2.15
6 2009 Pulley 5 games -2.08
7 2012 Schertz 5 games -1.98
8 2024 Pulley 5 games -1.75
9 2015 Derrek 5 games -1.69
10 2008 Mike R. 5 games -1.65
11 2025 Richie 5 games -1.64
12 2024 Matt 5 games -1.58
13 2019 Dave 5 games -1.57
14 2022 Richie 5 games -1.55
15 2015 Pat 5 games -1.54
16 2014 Richie 5 games -1.53
17 2016 Mike R. 5 games -1.51
18 2016 Babel 5 games -1.50
19 2019 Babel 5 games -1.44
20 2013 Babel 5 games -1.42
21 2013 Rabbit 5 games -1.41
22 2008 Katie 5 games -1.40
23 2022 Babel 5 games -1.33
24 2009 Dave 5 games -1.33
25 2017 Allen 5 games -1.30
26 2010 Rob 5 games -1.28
27 2025 Babel 5 games -1.25
28 2014 Derrek 5 games -1.22
29 2016 Pat 5 games -1.21
30 2017 Pat 5 games -1.20
31 2010 Kevin 5 games -1.19
32 2025 Derrek 5 games -1.18
33 2015 Allen 5 games -1.17
34 2022 Pat 5 games -1.14
35 2010 Allen 5 games -1.13
36 2023 Scott 5 games -1.12
37 2013 Allen 5 games -1.10
38 2011 Pat 5 games -1.10
39 2014 Allen 5 games -1.08
40 2016 Derrek 5 games -1.07
41 2022 Pulley 5 games -1.07
42 2009 Ed 5 games -1.07
43 2021 Pulley 5 games -1.04
44 2013 Derrek 5 games -1.00
45 2019 Richie 5 games -1.00
46 2020 Pat 5 games -0.98
47 2008 Rabbit 5 games -0.97
48 2012 Richie 5 games -0.96
49 2023 Dave 5 games -0.93
50 2018 Dave 5 games -0.92
51 2021 Rob 5 games -0.90
52 2017 Mike R. 5 games -0.89
53 2020 Derrek 5 games -0.88
54 2023 Derrek 5 games -0.87
55 2017 Richie 5 games -0.85
56 2017 Rabbit 5 games -0.82
57 2024 Dave 5 games -0.81
58 2010 Pulley 5 games -0.81
59 2011 Dave 5 games -0.79
60 2015 Rabbit 5 games -0.78
61 2024 Derrek 5 games -0.77
62 2012 Dave 5 games -0.77
63 2014 Ed 5 games -0.75
64 2022 Mike R. 5 games -0.71
65 2019 Ed 5 games -0.70
66 2020 Rabbit 5 games -0.68
67 2016 Richie 5 games -0.64
68 2012 Babel 5 games -0.63
69 2010 Pat 5 games -0.61
70 2015 Kevin 5 games -0.59
71 2013 Pat 5 games -0.57
72 2012 Pat 5 games -0.56
73 2019 Mike R. 5 games -0.55
74 2014 Schertz 5 games -0.55
75 2021 Dave 5 games -0.54
76 2021 Ed 5 games -0.52
77 2009 Pat 5 games -0.52
78 2018 Schertz 5 games -0.51
79 2020 Babel 5 games -0.51
80 2025 Dave 5 games -0.50
81 2012 Rob 5 games -0.48
82 2022 Kevin 5 games -0.48
83 2011 Matt 5 games -0.48
84 2024 Schertz 5 games -0.44
85 2017 Matt 5 games -0.41
86 2017 Kevin 5 games -0.41
87 2008 Matt 5 games -0.39
88 2014 Mike R. 5 games -0.39
89 2008 Dave 5 games -0.39
90 2014 Pat 5 games -0.38
91 2019 Rob 5 games -0.37
92 2025 Ed 5 games -0.36
93 2013 Richie 5 games -0.36
94 2008 Rob 5 games -0.35
95 2018 Rabbit 5 games -0.35
96 2012 Pulley 5 games -0.34
97 2025 Matt 5 games -0.34
98 2025 Schertz 5 games -0.33
99 2018 Babel 5 games -0.32
100 2015 Schertz 5 games -0.28
101 2016 Allen 5 games -0.28
102 2018 Richie 5 games -0.27
103 2023 Ed 5 games -0.26
104 2011 Derrek 5 games -0.24
105 2024 Pat 5 games -0.22
106 2021 Pat 5 games -0.21
107 2023 Richie 5 games -0.18
108 2022 Rabbit 5 games -0.18
109 2021 Matt 5 games -0.18
110 2017 Ed 5 games -0.16
111 2018 Scott 5 games -0.13
112 2010 Matt 5 games -0.12
113 2023 Pat 5 games -0.11
114 2009 Allen 5 games -0.11
115 2024 Richie 5 games -0.09
116 2013 Mike R. 5 games -0.07
117 2015 Ed 5 games -0.03
118 2023 Schertz 5 games -0.02
119 2012 Kevin 5 games -0.00
120 2012 Derrek 5 games 0.00
121 2020 Matt 5 games 0.00
122 2013 Rob 5 games 0.02
123 2016 Ed 5 games 0.02
124 2019 Scott 5 games 0.02
125 2019 Kevin 5 games 0.03
126 2008 Allen 5 games 0.07
127 2024 Kevin 5 games 0.11
128 2017 Schertz 5 games 0.11
129 2014 Kevin 5 games 0.12
130 2025 Rob 5 games 0.14
131 2010 Babel 5 games 0.14
132 2025 Mike R. 5 games 0.17
133 2015 Matt 5 games 0.17
134 2020 Mike R. 5 games 0.18
135 2011 Mike R. 5 games 0.19
136 2010 Derrek 5 games 0.19
137 2016 Matt 5 games 0.19
138 2020 Schertz 5 games 0.22
139 2023 Rob 5 games 0.23
140 2024 Scott 5 games 0.23
141 2022 Derrek 5 games 0.24
142 2020 Scott 5 games 0.25
143 2019 Rabbit 5 games 0.25
144 2011 Kevin 5 games 0.25
145 2019 Derrek 5 games 0.28
146 2011 Babel 5 games 0.28
147 2025 Kevin 5 games 0.29
148 2014 Rabbit 5 games 0.29
149 2025 Pat 5 games 0.31
150 2021 Kevin 5 games 0.31
151 2013 Kevin 5 games 0.32
152 2009 Mike R. 5 games 0.32
153 2018 Ed 5 games 0.35
154 2008 Kevin 5 games 0.36
155 2019 Pat 5 games 0.39
156 2012 Allen 5 games 0.39
157 2009 Rob 5 games 0.43
158 2024 Ed 5 games 0.44
159 2010 Mike R. 5 games 0.52
160 2014 Matt 5 games 0.52
161 2020 Richie 5 games 0.54
162 2024 Babel 5 games 0.56
163 2015 Richie 5 games 0.57
164 2017 Pulley 5 games 0.58
165 2018 Pulley 5 games 0.58
166 2009 Babel 5 games 0.58
167 2018 Derrek 5 games 0.59
168 2013 Schertz 5 games 0.59
169 2009 Matt 5 games 0.62
170 2021 Schertz 5 games 0.63
171 2011 Allen 5 games 0.63
172 2021 Richie 5 games 0.64
173 2013 Dave 5 games 0.65
174 2014 Rob 5 games 0.65
175 2023 Mike R. 5 games 0.67
176 2015 Mike R. 5 games 0.69
177 2009 Kevin 5 games 0.72
178 2018 Kevin 5 games 0.73
179 2017 Rob 5 games 0.73
180 2022 Dave 5 games 0.74
181 2016 Rabbit 5 games 0.75
182 2023 Rabbit 5 games 0.77
183 2018 Matt 5 games 0.77
184 2014 Babel 5 games 0.78
185 2016 Kevin 5 games 0.81
186 2021 Mike R. 5 games 0.82
187 2015 Babel 5 games 0.84
188 2011 Ed 5 games 0.84
189 2020 Rob 5 games 0.89
190 2008 Ed 5 games 0.89
191 2016 Pulley 5 games 0.91
192 2016 Rob 5 games 0.92
193 2012 Ed 5 games 0.92
194 2021 Rabbit 5 games 0.94
195 2020 Pulley 5 games 0.98
196 2017 Derrek 5 games 1.02
197 2022 Rob 5 games 1.03
198 2022 Matt 5 games 1.05
199 2022 Scott 5 games 1.05
200 2008 Derrek 5 games 1.06
201 2018 Rob 5 games 1.08
202 2010 Ed 5 games 1.10
203 2011 Rabbit 5 games 1.10
204 2023 Pulley 5 games 1.14
205 2022 Schertz 5 games 1.15
206 2009 Derrek 5 games 1.17
207 2022 Ed 5 games 1.19
208 2021 Babel 5 games 1.20
209 2020 Ed 5 games 1.20
210 2016 Schertz 5 games 1.22
211 2015 Dave 5 games 1.22
212 2018 Mike R. 5 games 1.23
213 2015 Pulley 5 games 1.24
214 2024 Rob 5 games 1.25
215 2009 Rabbit 5 games 1.27
216 2025 Pulley 5 games 1.27
217 2013 Ed 5 games 1.28
218 2021 Derrek 5 games 1.28
219 2020 Kevin 5 games 1.29
220 2015 Rob 5 games 1.34
221 2019 Matt 5 games 1.34
222 2012 Rabbit 5 games 1.36
223 2012 Matt 5 games 1.36
224 2008 Pulley 5 games 1.38
225 2023 Matt 5 games 1.39
226 2016 Dave 5 games 1.39
227 2013 Pulley 5 games 1.39
228 2008 Babel 5 games 1.40
229 2023 Babel 5 games 1.45
230 2010 Rabbit 5 games 1.48
231 2014 Dave 5 games 1.48
232 2024 Mike R. 5 games 1.49
233 2011 Rob 5 games 1.54
234 2024 Rabbit 5 games 1.60
235 2019 Schertz 5 games 1.65
236 2019 Pulley 5 games 1.66
237 2025 Scott 5 games 1.66
238 2012 Mike R. 5 games 1.68
239 2013 Matt 5 games 1.69
240 2010 Dave 5 games 1.71
241 2017 Dave 5 games 1.75
242 2025 Rabbit 5 games 1.77
243 2017 Babel 5 games 1.83
244 2014 Pulley 5 games 2.06