Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins (through week 10)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins
1 2020 Dave 10 games -2.73
2 2009 Pulley 10 games -2.67
3 2021 Scott 10 games -2.43
4 2011 Pat 10 games -2.07
5 2024 Pulley 10 games -2.01
6 2018 Pat 10 games -1.97
7 2024 Derrek 10 games -1.92
8 2019 Rob 10 games -1.69
9 2023 Kevin 10 games -1.67
10 2015 Allen 10 games -1.61
11 2010 Allen 10 games -1.60
12 2017 Mike R. 10 games -1.57
13 2022 Babel 10 games -1.55
14 2011 Pulley 10 games -1.53
15 2008 Dave 10 games -1.51
16 2025 Babel 10 games -1.50
17 2022 Pat 10 games -1.50
18 2013 Allen 10 games -1.49
19 2016 Richie 10 games -1.39
20 2018 Dave 10 games -1.37
21 2013 Derrek 10 games -1.36
22 2016 Mike R. 10 games -1.34
23 2022 Pulley 10 games -1.34
24 2020 Pat 10 games -1.32
25 2010 Pat 10 games -1.30
26 2021 Rob 10 games -1.29
27 2015 Kevin 10 games -1.29
28 2008 Matt 10 games -1.27
29 2016 Derrek 10 games -1.26
30 2025 Matt 10 games -1.26
31 2009 Pat 10 games -1.23
32 2016 Pat 10 games -1.22
33 2012 Kevin 10 games -1.21
34 2014 Richie 10 games -1.19
35 2025 Richie 10 games -1.19
36 2022 Richie 10 games -1.18
37 2023 Richie 10 games -1.18
38 2012 Richie 10 games -1.16
39 2023 Derrek 10 games -1.16
40 2014 Allen 10 games -1.12
41 2012 Pat 10 games -1.12
42 2014 Derrek 10 games -1.12
43 2017 Matt 10 games -1.11
44 2015 Pat 10 games -1.08
45 2017 Allen 10 games -1.06
46 2013 Richie 10 games -1.05
47 2025 Pat 10 games -1.05
48 2012 Schertz 10 games -1.01
49 2023 Scott 10 games -0.98
50 2015 Derrek 10 games -0.96
51 2021 Pulley 10 games -0.96
52 2013 Pat 10 games -0.93
53 2017 Richie 10 games -0.91
54 2019 Richie 10 games -0.86
55 2008 Mike R. 10 games -0.86
56 2014 Schertz 10 games -0.85
57 2014 Pat 10 games -0.85
58 2008 Katie 10 games -0.84
59 2018 Richie 10 games -0.77
60 2016 Babel 10 games -0.72
61 2010 Kevin 10 games -0.71
62 2015 Ed 10 games -0.68
63 2014 Ed 10 games -0.64
64 2019 Babel 10 games -0.64
65 2017 Schertz 10 games -0.60
66 2018 Schertz 10 games -0.60
67 2017 Pat 10 games -0.59
68 2008 Allen 10 games -0.58
69 2018 Rabbit 10 games -0.57
70 2021 Pat 10 games -0.55
71 2013 Babel 10 games -0.54
72 2018 Babel 10 games -0.53
73 2017 Rabbit 10 games -0.51
74 2012 Pulley 10 games -0.51
75 2019 Scott 10 games -0.50
76 2025 Derrek 10 games -0.47
77 2024 Schertz 10 games -0.47
78 2024 Matt 10 games -0.46
79 2019 Dave 10 games -0.44
80 2013 Schertz 10 games -0.43
81 2020 Richie 10 games -0.42
82 2014 Kevin 10 games -0.42
83 2012 Babel 10 games -0.41
84 2019 Mike R. 10 games -0.41
85 2023 Schertz 10 games -0.40
86 2010 Rob 10 games -0.38
87 2019 Pat 10 games -0.36
88 2023 Dave 10 games -0.35
89 2023 Ed 10 games -0.35
90 2016 Allen 10 games -0.34
91 2022 Mike R. 10 games -0.33
92 2009 Dave 10 games -0.31
93 2018 Ed 10 games -0.29
94 2019 Kevin 10 games -0.28
95 2010 Matt 10 games -0.28
96 2020 Derrek 10 games -0.28
97 2025 Ed 10 games -0.27
98 2015 Babel 10 games -0.25
99 2019 Rabbit 10 games -0.24
100 2011 Kevin 10 games -0.24
101 2011 Dave 10 games -0.24
102 2020 Rabbit 10 games -0.24
103 2019 Ed 10 games -0.22
104 2012 Dave 10 games -0.21
105 2013 Rob 10 games -0.21
106 2024 Pat 10 games -0.19
107 2011 Derrek 10 games -0.18
108 2010 Mike R. 10 games -0.17
109 2024 Ed 10 games -0.16
110 2022 Rabbit 10 games -0.16
111 2021 Mike R. 10 games -0.16
112 2024 Kevin 10 games -0.14
113 2008 Rabbit 10 games -0.12
114 2020 Babel 10 games -0.11
115 2010 Derrek 10 games -0.10
116 2025 Rob 10 games -0.09
117 2012 Allen 10 games -0.09
118 2011 Babel 10 games -0.09
119 2014 Mike R. 10 games -0.08
120 2020 Mike R. 10 games -0.06
121 2021 Matt 10 games -0.06
122 2008 Ed 10 games -0.05
123 2016 Matt 10 games -0.05
124 2024 Scott 10 games -0.03
125 2009 Rob 10 games -0.02
126 2009 Babel 10 games -0.00
127 2009 Ed 10 games -0.00
128 2022 Kevin 10 games 0.03
129 2015 Schertz 10 games 0.04
130 2015 Mike R. 10 games 0.04
131 2011 Ed 10 games 0.05
132 2021 Ed 10 games 0.08
133 2021 Kevin 10 games 0.10
134 2010 Pulley 10 games 0.10
135 2018 Rob 10 games 0.14
136 2022 Matt 10 games 0.15
137 2012 Rob 10 games 0.17
138 2023 Pat 10 games 0.17
139 2011 Matt 10 games 0.19
140 2025 Schertz 10 games 0.24
141 2010 Babel 10 games 0.25
142 2024 Babel 10 games 0.25
143 2015 Rabbit 10 games 0.32
144 2025 Pulley 10 games 0.33
145 2013 Dave 10 games 0.34
146 2012 Derrek 10 games 0.34
147 2009 Allen 10 games 0.35
148 2020 Scott 10 games 0.35
149 2016 Ed 10 games 0.39
150 2021 Rabbit 10 games 0.41
151 2025 Dave 10 games 0.41
152 2012 Ed 10 games 0.42
153 2017 Ed 10 games 0.44
154 2017 Rob 10 games 0.45
155 2020 Pulley 10 games 0.45
156 2013 Kevin 10 games 0.46
157 2013 Rabbit 10 games 0.47
158 2013 Mike R. 10 games 0.48
159 2014 Matt 10 games 0.48
160 2020 Matt 10 games 0.48
161 2011 Mike R. 10 games 0.51
162 2017 Babel 10 games 0.53
163 2018 Matt 10 games 0.54
164 2023 Babel 10 games 0.56
165 2014 Babel 10 games 0.57
166 2018 Scott 10 games 0.57
167 2009 Mike R. 10 games 0.59
168 2023 Rob 10 games 0.60
169 2015 Matt 10 games 0.60
170 2008 Derrek 10 games 0.61
171 2008 Rob 10 games 0.64
172 2009 Matt 10 games 0.64
173 2021 Dave 10 games 0.64
174 2014 Rob 10 games 0.65
175 2016 Dave 10 games 0.68
176 2024 Dave 10 games 0.69
177 2009 Derrek 10 games 0.70
178 2010 Ed 10 games 0.70
179 2020 Rob 10 games 0.71
180 2023 Mike R. 10 games 0.73
181 2022 Ed 10 games 0.75
182 2015 Dave 10 games 0.79
183 2011 Rob 10 games 0.79
184 2025 Scott 10 games 0.81
185 2023 Rabbit 10 games 0.81
186 2016 Schertz 10 games 0.81
187 2022 Dave 10 games 0.81
188 2015 Richie 10 games 0.81
189 2016 Rob 10 games 0.82
190 2025 Kevin 10 games 0.85
191 2024 Richie 10 games 0.85
192 2020 Ed 10 games 0.85
193 2019 Derrek 10 games 0.86
194 2017 Derrek 10 games 0.87
195 2021 Schertz 10 games 0.87
196 2022 Derrek 10 games 0.87
197 2024 Rob 10 games 0.88
198 2009 Rabbit 10 games 0.89
199 2013 Pulley 10 games 0.90
200 2017 Kevin 10 games 0.91
201 2022 Schertz 10 games 0.92
202 2018 Kevin 10 games 0.92
203 2016 Rabbit 10 games 0.93
204 2011 Allen 10 games 0.95
205 2021 Richie 10 games 0.96
206 2021 Derrek 10 games 0.99
207 2020 Schertz 10 games 1.00
208 2008 Pulley 10 games 1.02
209 2009 Kevin 10 games 1.07
210 2025 Mike R. 10 games 1.08
211 2022 Scott 10 games 1.16
212 2016 Pulley 10 games 1.16
213 2019 Pulley 10 games 1.21
214 2012 Rabbit 10 games 1.22
215 2008 Kevin 10 games 1.23
216 2024 Rabbit 10 games 1.25
217 2018 Pulley 10 games 1.26
218 2019 Matt 10 games 1.28
219 2018 Derrek 10 games 1.28
220 2020 Kevin 10 games 1.30
221 2017 Pulley 10 games 1.33
222 2013 Ed 10 games 1.34
223 2014 Dave 10 games 1.36
224 2022 Rob 10 games 1.36
225 2010 Dave 10 games 1.36
226 2018 Mike R. 10 games 1.38
227 2021 Babel 10 games 1.39
228 2014 Rabbit 10 games 1.41
229 2015 Rob 10 games 1.42
230 2012 Matt 10 games 1.45
231 2024 Mike R. 10 games 1.47
232 2023 Matt 10 games 1.51
233 2016 Kevin 10 games 1.54
234 2023 Pulley 10 games 1.72
235 2008 Babel 10 games 1.73
236 2014 Pulley 10 games 1.80
237 2017 Dave 10 games 1.83
238 2015 Pulley 10 games 1.84
239 2011 Rabbit 10 games 1.84
240 2013 Matt 10 games 2.01
241 2025 Rabbit 10 games 2.12
242 2012 Mike R. 10 games 2.13
243 2010 Rabbit 10 games 2.14
244 2019 Schertz 10 games 2.28