Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins (through week 12)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins
1 2020 Dave 12 games -2.75
2 2021 Scott 12 games -2.34
3 2009 Pulley 12 games -2.28
4 2011 Pulley 12 games -2.16
5 2024 Derrek 12 games -1.89
6 2023 Kevin 12 games -1.86
7 2017 Mike R. 12 games -1.85
8 2024 Pulley 12 games -1.79
9 2018 Pat 12 games -1.76
10 2018 Dave 12 games -1.70
11 2020 Pat 12 games -1.68
12 2022 Pulley 12 games -1.65
13 2016 Richie 12 games -1.61
14 2019 Rob 12 games -1.58
15 2013 Allen 12 games -1.56
16 2022 Babel 12 games -1.49
17 2014 Allen 12 games -1.49
18 2011 Pat 12 games -1.45
19 2013 Derrek 12 games -1.44
20 2016 Derrek 12 games -1.43
21 2012 Richie 12 games -1.42
22 2015 Kevin 12 games -1.40
23 2025 Babel 12 games -1.39
24 2015 Allen 12 games -1.39
25 2010 Allen 12 games -1.38
26 2008 Katie 12 games -1.37
27 2018 Richie 12 games -1.34
28 2008 Dave 12 games -1.33
29 2025 Pat 12 games -1.33
30 2019 Richie 12 games -1.31
31 2021 Rob 12 games -1.31
32 2022 Pat 12 games -1.29
33 2017 Matt 12 games -1.24
34 2008 Matt 12 games -1.22
35 2023 Richie 12 games -1.21
36 2016 Pat 12 games -1.20
37 2015 Derrek 12 games -1.17
38 2012 Pat 12 games -1.17
39 2014 Derrek 12 games -1.17
40 2009 Pat 12 games -1.16
41 2017 Allen 12 games -1.13
42 2010 Pat 12 games -1.11
43 2012 Kevin 12 games -1.11
44 2025 Matt 12 games -1.09
45 2014 Schertz 12 games -1.08
46 2013 Richie 12 games -1.07
47 2016 Mike R. 12 games -1.04
48 2025 Richie 12 games -0.99
49 2009 Dave 12 games -0.97
50 2023 Scott 12 games -0.93
51 2023 Derrek 12 games -0.88
52 2024 Scott 12 games -0.87
53 2010 Kevin 12 games -0.84
54 2013 Pat 12 games -0.84
55 2014 Richie 12 games -0.83
56 2019 Dave 12 games -0.83
57 2015 Pat 12 games -0.82
58 2022 Richie 12 games -0.80
59 2021 Pulley 12 games -0.74
60 2017 Richie 12 games -0.71
61 2015 Ed 12 games -0.70
62 2012 Pulley 12 games -0.66
63 2014 Kevin 12 games -0.65
64 2019 Scott 12 games -0.62
65 2025 Derrek 12 games -0.60
66 2011 Dave 12 games -0.59
67 2010 Matt 12 games -0.57
68 2023 Dave 12 games -0.57
69 2008 Allen 12 games -0.56
70 2012 Schertz 12 games -0.52
71 2018 Schertz 12 games -0.51
72 2014 Pat 12 games -0.51
73 2010 Mike R. 12 games -0.50
74 2019 Pat 12 games -0.50
75 2021 Mike R. 12 games -0.49
76 2017 Schertz 12 games -0.48
77 2008 Mike R. 12 games -0.48
78 2011 Derrek 12 games -0.44
79 2013 Schertz 12 games -0.42
80 2023 Schertz 12 games -0.41
81 2016 Babel 12 games -0.39
82 2021 Pat 12 games -0.38
83 2024 Babel 12 games -0.36
84 2014 Ed 12 games -0.34
85 2022 Rabbit 12 games -0.33
86 2025 Ed 12 games -0.32
87 2022 Mike R. 12 games -0.30
88 2012 Babel 12 games -0.30
89 2010 Rob 12 games -0.29
90 2017 Rabbit 12 games -0.27
91 2022 Kevin 12 games -0.27
92 2013 Babel 12 games -0.26
93 2019 Kevin 12 games -0.24
94 2012 Dave 12 games -0.24
95 2025 Rob 12 games -0.22
96 2019 Ed 12 games -0.20
97 2017 Pat 12 games -0.20
98 2016 Allen 12 games -0.20
99 2018 Rabbit 12 games -0.20
100 2012 Allen 12 games -0.20
101 2024 Schertz 12 games -0.20
102 2019 Babel 12 games -0.19
103 2024 Ed 12 games -0.17
104 2021 Kevin 12 games -0.16
105 2023 Pat 12 games -0.16
106 2016 Matt 12 games -0.16
107 2024 Pat 12 games -0.15
108 2015 Schertz 12 games -0.15
109 2011 Kevin 12 games -0.13
110 2008 Rabbit 12 games -0.12
111 2018 Rob 12 games -0.12
112 2020 Rabbit 12 games -0.11
113 2020 Scott 12 games -0.10
114 2018 Babel 12 games -0.10
115 2013 Rob 12 games -0.08
116 2023 Ed 12 games -0.08
117 2014 Mike R. 12 games -0.08
118 2010 Derrek 12 games -0.07
119 2020 Mike R. 12 games -0.06
120 2017 Ed 12 games -0.05
121 2011 Ed 12 games -0.03
122 2008 Ed 12 games -0.03
123 2015 Babel 12 games -0.02
124 2015 Mike R. 12 games -0.02
125 2009 Mike R. 12 games 0.01
126 2018 Ed 12 games 0.01
127 2015 Rabbit 12 games 0.02
128 2019 Rabbit 12 games 0.04
129 2009 Babel 12 games 0.07
130 2021 Matt 12 games 0.07
131 2009 Rob 12 games 0.07
132 2024 Matt 12 games 0.07
133 2012 Rob 12 games 0.08
134 2019 Mike R. 12 games 0.10
135 2020 Richie 12 games 0.12
136 2016 Ed 12 games 0.12
137 2022 Matt 12 games 0.16
138 2009 Ed 12 games 0.17
139 2012 Derrek 12 games 0.17
140 2025 Schertz 12 games 0.17
141 2021 Dave 12 games 0.19
142 2025 Dave 12 games 0.19
143 2013 Kevin 12 games 0.20
144 2009 Derrek 12 games 0.20
145 2020 Babel 12 games 0.21
146 2014 Matt 12 games 0.23
147 2011 Mike R. 12 games 0.24
148 2020 Pulley 12 games 0.25
149 2010 Babel 12 games 0.26
150 2024 Kevin 12 games 0.27
151 2008 Derrek 12 games 0.27
152 2020 Derrek 12 games 0.27
153 2021 Schertz 12 games 0.28
154 2013 Rabbit 12 games 0.33
155 2025 Pulley 12 games 0.34
156 2020 Matt 12 games 0.35
157 2021 Ed 12 games 0.35
158 2009 Allen 12 games 0.36
159 2010 Pulley 12 games 0.36
160 2012 Ed 12 games 0.37
161 2023 Mike R. 12 games 0.40
162 2022 Ed 12 games 0.47
163 2013 Mike R. 12 games 0.53
164 2011 Babel 12 games 0.55
165 2018 Matt 12 games 0.57
166 2016 Dave 12 games 0.57
167 2020 Kevin 12 games 0.58
168 2021 Rabbit 12 games 0.58
169 2016 Rob 12 games 0.59
170 2017 Derrek 12 games 0.60
171 2015 Matt 12 games 0.60
172 2010 Ed 12 games 0.60
173 2024 Richie 12 games 0.61
174 2017 Rob 12 games 0.63
175 2017 Babel 12 games 0.63
176 2013 Dave 12 games 0.63
177 2024 Rabbit 12 games 0.64
178 2013 Pulley 12 games 0.64
179 2019 Derrek 12 games 0.66
180 2014 Babel 12 games 0.69
181 2020 Ed 12 games 0.72
182 2011 Matt 12 games 0.73
183 2015 Dave 12 games 0.73
184 2023 Babel 12 games 0.73
185 2024 Dave 12 games 0.74
186 2014 Rob 12 games 0.74
187 2018 Kevin 12 games 0.78
188 2016 Schertz 12 games 0.81
189 2018 Scott 12 games 0.81
190 2008 Pulley 12 games 0.86
191 2011 Rob 12 games 0.86
192 2022 Scott 12 games 0.93
193 2025 Kevin 12 games 0.93
194 2019 Pulley 12 games 0.95
195 2015 Richie 12 games 0.98
196 2009 Matt 12 games 0.99
197 2022 Rob 12 games 1.00
198 2011 Allen 12 games 1.01
199 2018 Derrek 12 games 1.01
200 2008 Rob 12 games 1.02
201 2017 Kevin 12 games 1.04
202 2020 Rob 12 games 1.04
203 2022 Derrek 12 games 1.06
204 2022 Dave 12 games 1.08
205 2016 Pulley 12 games 1.09
206 2023 Rob 12 games 1.10
207 2009 Kevin 12 games 1.11
208 2025 Mike R. 12 games 1.12
209 2020 Schertz 12 games 1.15
210 2013 Ed 12 games 1.16
211 2023 Rabbit 12 games 1.18
212 2010 Dave 12 games 1.20
213 2025 Scott 12 games 1.21
214 2021 Richie 12 games 1.21
215 2018 Mike R. 12 games 1.24
216 2023 Matt 12 games 1.26
217 2016 Rabbit 12 games 1.27
218 2017 Pulley 12 games 1.29
219 2018 Pulley 12 games 1.30
220 2021 Babel 12 games 1.32
221 2008 Kevin 12 games 1.33
222 2011 Rabbit 12 games 1.42
223 2023 Pulley 12 games 1.43
224 2021 Derrek 12 games 1.43
225 2022 Schertz 12 games 1.44
226 2009 Rabbit 12 games 1.44
227 2015 Rob 12 games 1.44
228 2024 Rob 12 games 1.46
229 2014 Pulley 12 games 1.47
230 2014 Dave 12 games 1.48
231 2014 Rabbit 12 games 1.53
232 2012 Rabbit 12 games 1.53
233 2016 Kevin 12 games 1.58
234 2008 Babel 12 games 1.64
235 2024 Mike R. 12 games 1.65
236 2012 Mike R. 12 games 1.69
237 2019 Matt 12 games 1.71
238 2017 Dave 12 games 1.74
239 2012 Matt 12 games 1.77
240 2015 Pulley 12 games 1.90
241 2025 Rabbit 12 games 1.97
242 2019 Schertz 12 games 2.01
243 2013 Matt 12 games 2.19
244 2010 Rabbit 12 games 2.34