Top Seasons: Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins (through week 11)

(regular season games only)

Standard Deviations Below Average Expected Wins
1 2020 Dave 11 games -2.62
2 2021 Scott 11 games -2.40
3 2009 Pulley 11 games -2.36
4 2018 Pat 11 games -1.98
5 2011 Pulley 11 games -1.95
6 2024 Pulley 11 games -1.94
7 2024 Derrek 11 games -1.90
8 2011 Pat 11 games -1.82
9 2019 Rob 11 games -1.80
10 2023 Kevin 11 games -1.75
11 2017 Mike R. 11 games -1.65
12 2022 Pat 11 games -1.63
13 2015 Allen 11 games -1.59
14 2020 Pat 11 games -1.58
15 2008 Dave 11 games -1.57
16 2018 Dave 11 games -1.55
17 2013 Derrek 11 games -1.53
18 2025 Babel 11 games -1.49
19 2013 Allen 11 games -1.46
20 2022 Pulley 11 games -1.45
21 2010 Allen 11 games -1.40
22 2025 Matt 11 games -1.37
23 2008 Matt 11 games -1.36
24 2021 Rob 11 games -1.36
25 2016 Richie 11 games -1.36
26 2022 Babel 11 games -1.32
27 2016 Derrek 11 games -1.31
28 2015 Kevin 11 games -1.30
29 2012 Richie 11 games -1.27
30 2013 Richie 11 games -1.27
31 2016 Pat 11 games -1.26
32 2012 Pat 11 games -1.24
33 2017 Matt 11 games -1.23
34 2025 Richie 11 games -1.23
35 2014 Allen 11 games -1.23
36 2012 Kevin 11 games -1.22
37 2025 Pat 11 games -1.21
38 2009 Pat 11 games -1.17
39 2017 Richie 11 games -1.13
40 2023 Richie 11 games -1.13
41 2016 Mike R. 11 games -1.11
42 2023 Derrek 11 games -1.11
43 2014 Richie 11 games -1.08
44 2013 Pat 11 games -1.08
45 2010 Pat 11 games -1.06
46 2015 Pat 11 games -1.06
47 2017 Allen 11 games -1.06
48 2018 Richie 11 games -1.04
49 2023 Scott 11 games -1.04
50 2014 Schertz 11 games -0.99
51 2019 Richie 11 games -0.98
52 2008 Katie 11 games -0.96
53 2022 Richie 11 games -0.93
54 2010 Kevin 11 games -0.92
55 2014 Derrek 11 games -0.90
56 2015 Derrek 11 games -0.90
57 2009 Dave 11 games -0.85
58 2012 Schertz 11 games -0.82
59 2021 Pulley 11 games -0.81
60 2015 Ed 11 games -0.72
61 2014 Kevin 11 games -0.70
62 2014 Pat 11 games -0.64
63 2012 Pulley 11 games -0.63
64 2014 Ed 11 games -0.59
65 2022 Mike R. 11 games -0.59
66 2008 Allen 11 games -0.56
67 2019 Ed 11 games -0.56
68 2010 Mike R. 11 games -0.54
69 2024 Scott 11 games -0.50
70 2008 Mike R. 11 games -0.50
71 2019 Dave 11 games -0.49
72 2011 Kevin 11 games -0.48
73 2010 Rob 11 games -0.47
74 2019 Babel 11 games -0.46
75 2020 Rabbit 11 games -0.45
76 2023 Schertz 11 games -0.45
77 2017 Pat 11 games -0.45
78 2023 Dave 11 games -0.43
79 2019 Pat 11 games -0.41
80 2009 Babel 11 games -0.41
81 2019 Rabbit 11 games -0.40
82 2024 Ed 11 games -0.39
83 2021 Mike R. 11 games -0.38
84 2016 Babel 11 games -0.38
85 2021 Pat 11 games -0.37
86 2019 Scott 11 games -0.36
87 2016 Allen 11 games -0.36
88 2018 Schertz 11 games -0.36
89 2011 Derrek 11 games -0.36
90 2016 Matt 11 games -0.35
91 2020 Richie 11 games -0.33
92 2025 Derrek 11 games -0.33
93 2010 Matt 11 games -0.32
94 2018 Rabbit 11 games -0.30
95 2023 Ed 11 games -0.30
96 2015 Babel 11 games -0.29
97 2011 Dave 11 games -0.26
98 2020 Mike R. 11 games -0.26
99 2018 Rob 11 games -0.25
100 2017 Rabbit 11 games -0.25
101 2012 Dave 11 games -0.25
102 2014 Mike R. 11 games -0.25
103 2017 Schertz 11 games -0.21
104 2024 Matt 11 games -0.19
105 2024 Babel 11 games -0.18
106 2018 Babel 11 games -0.18
107 2012 Babel 11 games -0.17
108 2013 Schertz 11 games -0.16
109 2013 Babel 11 games -0.15
110 2019 Mike R. 11 games -0.14
111 2008 Ed 11 games -0.14
112 2025 Ed 11 games -0.14
113 2024 Pat 11 games -0.13
114 2021 Matt 11 games -0.11
115 2024 Kevin 11 games -0.11
116 2008 Rabbit 11 games -0.10
117 2018 Ed 11 games -0.07
118 2022 Rabbit 11 games -0.07
119 2025 Rob 11 games -0.05
120 2024 Schertz 11 games -0.05
121 2022 Kevin 11 games 0.01
122 2015 Schertz 11 games 0.02
123 2017 Ed 11 games 0.03
124 2015 Mike R. 11 games 0.03
125 2012 Allen 11 games 0.04
126 2016 Ed 11 games 0.04
127 2013 Rob 11 games 0.04
128 2021 Kevin 11 games 0.05
129 2009 Derrek 11 games 0.07
130 2019 Kevin 11 games 0.08
131 2022 Matt 11 games 0.08
132 2020 Derrek 11 games 0.08
133 2020 Scott 11 games 0.09
134 2010 Derrek 11 games 0.10
135 2012 Derrek 11 games 0.11
136 2023 Pat 11 games 0.11
137 2010 Pulley 11 games 0.12
138 2011 Ed 11 games 0.12
139 2015 Rabbit 11 games 0.13
140 2025 Pulley 11 games 0.13
141 2010 Babel 11 games 0.14
142 2009 Rob 11 games 0.16
143 2009 Ed 11 games 0.23
144 2021 Ed 11 games 0.25
145 2020 Babel 11 games 0.28
146 2012 Ed 11 games 0.28
147 2012 Rob 11 games 0.28
148 2011 Babel 11 games 0.29
149 2020 Pulley 11 games 0.30
150 2013 Rabbit 11 games 0.31
151 2025 Dave 11 games 0.35
152 2021 Dave 11 games 0.37
153 2008 Derrek 11 games 0.38
154 2013 Kevin 11 games 0.39
155 2018 Matt 11 games 0.41
156 2022 Ed 11 games 0.44
157 2013 Mike R. 11 games 0.44
158 2013 Dave 11 games 0.45
159 2014 Matt 11 games 0.48
160 2021 Rabbit 11 games 0.48
161 2025 Schertz 11 games 0.49
162 2017 Derrek 11 games 0.53
163 2009 Allen 11 games 0.53
164 2021 Schertz 11 games 0.53
165 2014 Rob 11 games 0.53
166 2009 Mike R. 11 games 0.58
167 2011 Matt 11 games 0.58
168 2023 Mike R. 11 games 0.59
169 2016 Dave 11 games 0.61
170 2024 Dave 11 games 0.63
171 2016 Schertz 11 games 0.66
172 2018 Scott 11 games 0.67
173 2016 Rob 11 games 0.68
174 2011 Mike R. 11 games 0.68
175 2015 Dave 11 games 0.69
176 2023 Babel 11 games 0.71
177 2020 Matt 11 games 0.73
178 2017 Babel 11 games 0.74
179 2014 Babel 11 games 0.74
180 2019 Derrek 11 games 0.75
181 2017 Rob 11 games 0.77
182 2020 Ed 11 games 0.81
183 2011 Allen 11 games 0.82
184 2025 Kevin 11 games 0.83
185 2017 Kevin 11 games 0.83
186 2013 Pulley 11 games 0.85
187 2015 Richie 11 games 0.86
188 2018 Derrek 11 games 0.87
189 2022 Scott 11 games 0.87
190 2015 Matt 11 games 0.88
191 2008 Rob 11 games 0.90
192 2020 Rob 11 games 0.91
193 2010 Ed 11 games 0.92
194 2020 Kevin 11 games 0.94
195 2023 Rob 11 games 0.96
196 2009 Matt 11 games 0.97
197 2018 Kevin 11 games 0.98
198 2008 Pulley 11 games 1.00
199 2022 Derrek 11 games 1.00
200 2022 Rob 11 games 1.05
201 2023 Rabbit 11 games 1.06
202 2024 Rabbit 11 games 1.06
203 2025 Scott 11 games 1.07
204 2011 Rob 11 games 1.08
205 2024 Richie 11 games 1.08
206 2020 Schertz 11 games 1.10
207 2009 Rabbit 11 games 1.10
208 2019 Pulley 11 games 1.10
209 2025 Mike R. 11 games 1.12
210 2021 Richie 11 games 1.12
211 2010 Dave 11 games 1.13
212 2013 Ed 11 games 1.13
213 2024 Rob 11 games 1.14
214 2016 Pulley 11 games 1.15
215 2009 Kevin 11 games 1.15
216 2021 Derrek 11 games 1.17
217 2016 Rabbit 11 games 1.18
218 2023 Matt 11 games 1.19
219 2022 Dave 11 games 1.24
220 2017 Pulley 11 games 1.29
221 2022 Schertz 11 games 1.29
222 2011 Rabbit 11 games 1.32
223 2018 Mike R. 11 games 1.38
224 2008 Kevin 11 games 1.42
225 2018 Pulley 11 games 1.43
226 2021 Babel 11 games 1.45
227 2024 Mike R. 11 games 1.46
228 2014 Rabbit 11 games 1.48
229 2012 Rabbit 11 games 1.49
230 2008 Babel 11 games 1.49
231 2014 Dave 11 games 1.55
232 2023 Pulley 11 games 1.59
233 2014 Pulley 11 games 1.60
234 2015 Pulley 11 games 1.60
235 2015 Rob 11 games 1.64
236 2012 Matt 11 games 1.70
237 2019 Matt 11 games 1.70
238 2012 Mike R. 11 games 1.71
239 2016 Kevin 11 games 1.81
240 2017 Dave 11 games 1.81
241 2025 Rabbit 11 games 1.83
242 2019 Schertz 11 games 1.97
243 2013 Matt 11 games 2.02
244 2010 Rabbit 11 games 2.30